Wednesday 18 May 2011

A Feast of Figures

At last, it's one year on for my solar panel installation and time to give an overview of its operation. When I was given a quote for the work, Installation Company told me I should expect 2,480 units annually. The actual number was 2,613, a decent amount, given that my system is not ideally aligned. The panels are on a 30-degree roof pitch that faces WSW. I think performance has been good knowing that Glasgow is not a part of the world known for sunshine. Anyone who is more southerly aligned than I am is going to do substantially better.

Not all of those 2,613 units attracted the Feed-in Tariff (FiT) payments. I lost a week's worth at the start while the bureaucracy surrounding FiT application worked it's way through. Nevertheless, the FIT's earnings for the year have been about £1,044. I say 'about' for two reasons. Half of my eligible units, 1,250 of them attracted an additional Export Tariff of 3 pence which adds £37. Also, both the Export Tariff and the FiT were increased by the inflation rate on 1 April. However, the people looking after the payments have no way of knowing what my reading was on that day so I guess they will apply the higher rate for my next reading which means that a few units from before April will attract the higher rate. Note that not only are these payments index-linked, they are also tax exempt.

Average generation per day was 7.16 units across the course of the year, pleasantly clear of the 6.79 target I was hoping to exceed.

The year prior to the panels, we used 8,816 units of electricity in our house - sons have a habit of leaving their stuff powered up! This year, primarily due to the power provided by the panels, our consumption has fallen by 2,180 units to 6,636 units which represents a saving of about £220 pounds at current rates. Adding that to the income above, we ought to have realised £1,300 by virtue of having the panels. Three major factors will affect that in future years. The price of retail electricity is bound to rise, increasing the savings that can be made by using power when the panels make it available; for example, coaxing the family to run items like the dishwasher when the Sun is out. The FiT payments will rise along with the Retail Prices Index. The panels are expected to deteriorate at about 0.9 per cent annually.

Now for the big, important chart from my spreadsheet:


When I first started this, I tried to guess what shape this graph would have. I thought that mid-winter would still yield a couple of units daily. The effect of weeks of snow on the panels was not expected, essentially turning them off for days on end. I suppose I expected an approximation to a sinusoid waveform but I now think that, over and above the snow, the alignment of my roof amplifies the effect of the lowering of the Sun's passage over the sky. Now I really understand why life goes to sleep over the winter. The prime source of energy for life, the Sun, basically all but disappears.

For the future, I am going to keep track of my panels' performance. My overall average figure will now become an annual average. A new figure I will be generating is a comparison of current generation with the previous year with a running total of whether I've generated more or less this year. Everything else being the same, I should see a very slight decline. However, given the variability of the Scottish cloud cover and a good summer, figures could easily be higher.

Monday 2 May 2011

Nearly there

The Sun is out in west Scotland with a vengeance and the units are clocking up with gusto. It's been gladdening to see generation return to high levels and there ought to be no impediment to exceeding my target amount. With the current sunny weather, the panels have been achieving over 19 units a day.

A week ago, I had a visit from the chap who installed the system. I pointed out a long flow of bird pooh that had run halfway down one of the panels and up he went to clean it off. Apparently, tests done by his colleagues showed that even small areas of shading have a profound effect on the entire string of cells. Since they are connected in series, the shaded cell acts like a resistor and impedes the flow of power. He gave the panels a quick once-over while he was up.

Now to the figures.

My annual average is 7.02 units, having passed the 6.79 figure required to hit target a week ago. 30-day average is a healthy 12.19 units. Here's the graph that covers the life of the panels.



To see better the recent improvements, here's the last two months. Remember, red is the 30-day average and yellow is the overall average.



I'll report on the first year's generation in two weeks time.